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Soumis par Anonyme (non vérifié) le 5 January 2025

Mel Gibson returns to the big screen—albeit behind the camera—in the action thriller Flight Risk, starring Mark Wahlberg as a pilot transporting an Air Marshal (Michelle Dockery) and a fugitive (Topher Grace) preparing to testify in a high-profile criminal case. Originally scheduled for release in October of last year, the film’s new late January slot could give it the breathing room required to attract a theatrical audience. This is Gibson’s first film as a director since 2016’s Hacksaw Ridge ($15.1M domestic opening, $67.2M domestic total), also released by Lionsgate. Solid word-of-mouth and awards season momentum helped that film secure largely modest holds that kept it in theaters from November to early March.

The first month of the year is usually a quiet time for movies, but January 2025 hits the ground running with new offerings. If you're craving some blockbuster action to distract you from the winter cold, Gerard Butler and O'Shea Jackson both return for the sequel to 2018's Den of Thieves, aptly titled Den of Thieves 2: Pantera. Cameron Diaz emerges from her acting retirement by teaming up with Jamie Foxx in the action-comedy Back in Action, while Keke Palmer and SZA team-up for One of Them Days, a buddy comedy road-trip of disastrous proportions.

Flight Risk has a clear runway to make an impact over its first couple of weekends. By the time it opens, fellow action thriller Den of Thieves: Pantera (also from Lionsgate) will have been out for two weeks. After Flight Risk, there’s not another action-oriented movie hitting theaters in wide release until the Valentine’s Day debut of Captain America: Brave New World. January has proven a familiar release window for star-driven thrillers, ranging from the highs of Amazon MGM’s The Beekeeper (1/12/24, $16.5M domestic opening, $66.2M domestic total) or Lionsgate’s Den of Thieves (1/19/18, $15.2M domestic opening, $44.9M domestic total) and The Commuter (1/12/18, $13.7M domestic opening, $36.3M domestic total) to lesser-earning efforts like Open Road Films’ The Marksman (1/15/21, $3.1M domestic total, $15.5M domestic total) or Aviron Pictures’ Serenity (1/25/19, $4.4M domestic opening, $8.5M domestic total). For Flight Risk, our forecasting panel predicts a domestic performance somewhere in the middle of those extremes, putting it more in line with Screen Gems’ release Proud Mary (1/12/18, $9.9 domestic opening, $20.8M domestic total), though marketing—and the presence of Gibson in the director’s chair—could push earnings further north of $20M.

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